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Price prediction · volatility method

Pi price prediction: how far it could move

Not a target. These are the ranges Pi's own price history makes plausible, recomputed every day from the last year of daily closes.

Updated · price $0.0630

Price today$0.0630down 9.12% 24h
Annual volatility70%typical day ±3.7%
Next 30 days · 90%$0.0452 – $0.0877
By 31 Dec 2026 · 90%$0.0416 – $0.0954
The short answer

Based on its realised volatility over the past year (70% a year), Pi has a 90% range of $0.0452 to $0.0877 over the next 30 days and $0.0416 to $0.0954 by 31 December 2026, if it keeps moving the way it has. These are statistical ranges around today's price of $0.0630, not forecasts.

Last 180 days and the next 12 months · shaded: 68% and 90% ranges

$0.0300$0.1000May 2026Oct 2026Feb 2027Jul 2027Nov 2027

31 December 2026 · 47 days away

Pi price prediction 2026

Likely · 68%$0.0489 – $0.0811about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.0416 – $0.0954about 9 times in 10
Chance it doublesunder 1%to $0.1260
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $2.98

By 31 December 2026 (47 days from now), Pi's own volatility puts the price between $0.0489 and $0.0811 about two times in three, and between $0.0416 and $0.0954 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.0630. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is under 1%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $2.98 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Pi would be worth $782M in total; at the bottom, $341M.

31 December 2027 · 412 days away

Pi price prediction 2027

Likely · 68%$0.0299 – $0.1329about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.0184 – $0.2151about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles18%to $0.1260
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $2.98

By 31 December 2027 (412 days from now), Pi's own volatility puts the price between $0.0299 and $0.1329 about two times in three, and between $0.0184 and $0.2151 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.0630. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 18%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $2.98 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Pi would be worth $1.76B in total; at the bottom, $151M.

31 December 2030 · 1,508 days away

Pi price prediction 2030

Likely · 68%$0.0151 – $0.2628about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.006006 – $0.6605about 9 times in 10

Stretched to 31 December 2030 — 1,508 days away — the same arithmetic gives a 68% range of $0.0151 to $0.2628 and a 90% range of $0.006006 to $0.6605. A band that wide is the honest answer: nobody can tell you where Pi will be in 2030, and the figures published as "2030 predictions" elsewhere are opinions, not measurements.

At the top of the 90% range, Pi would be worth $5.41B in total; at the bottom, $49.23M.

The bars share one log scale from $0.006006 to $0.6605: the darker band is the 68% range, the lighter one the 90% range, the line today's price.

Can Pi reach $1?

A price is only half the question. Multiply it by the 8.20B PI in circulation and you get the market value the price implies — which is the real test of whether it is plausible.

Price× todayImplied market valuevs Bitcoin todayModel chance by end 2027
$0.1000 1.6× $820M 0.00× 27%
$0.2000 3.2× $1.64B 0.00× 6.1%
$0.5000 7.9× $4.10B 0.00× under 1%
$1 16× $8.20B 0.01× under 1%
$2.98 (all-time high) 47× $24.45B 0.02× under 1%

Implied value assumes today's circulating supply; new tokens entering circulation would raise it further. The model chance is the share of outcomes above that price on 31 December 2027 under the volatility assumptions above — a measure of how far the price has to travel, not a forecast.

What moves Pi's price

Pi’s price is most closely connected to the practical usefulness of its network. Greater participation, transactions and demand for network-related fees can support utility, while stronger staking participation may reduce liquid supply and signal confidence. Trading access and liquidity also matter: broader availability can attract attention, but thin order books can amplify price changes. As with many altcoins, Pi tends to respond strongly to Bitcoin’s direction and to overall market sentiment, although network-specific developments can cause it to diverge. Attention cycles may bring bursts of interest without producing lasting adoption. Historical annualised volatility of 70% and a deepest one-year drawdown of -76% indicate that its price can move sharply around these catalysts.

Supply and PI

As of November 2026, Pi has 8196534001 tokens in circulation against a total and maximum supply of 100000000000. The circulating amount represents 8.2% of the maximum supply, so a substantial portion remains outside active circulation. This means new tokens can still enter circulation under the project’s distribution process. Increasing circulating supply may improve network participation and liquidity, but it can also create dilution if additional tokens are sold into available demand. Conversely, slower additions could limit sell-side pressure. The eventual movement between circulating and total supply, together with the credibility of the distribution schedule, is therefore important when assessing the price ranges shown.

What would change the outlook

Technology is a central source of change. Security failures, outages or weaknesses in network operation could reduce confidence and usage, while effective upgrades that improve scalability, reliability or utility could broaden participation. Regulatory developments could also matter: clearer rules might support wider access, whereas restrictive policies could create compliance concerns and reduce trading access. Competition for users, developers, attention and liquidity could pressure Pi’s position, although successful product improvements and ecosystem growth could strengthen it. Liquidity shocks remain another major influence. A broad market contraction, reduced market depth or forced selling could accelerate losses, while improving liquidity and renewed demand could ease volatility. These developments can shift the balance between supply and demand without establishing a target by themselves.

Ranges by horizon

HorizonLikely (68%)Wide (90%)
7 days$0.0571 – $0.0694$0.0537 – $0.0739
30 days$0.0515 – $0.0770$0.0452 – $0.0877
90 days$0.0444 – $0.0893$0.0355 – $0.1118
6 months$0.0383 – $0.1035$0.0278 – $0.1425
1 year$0.0312 – $0.1272$0.0198 – $0.2002
31 Dec 2026$0.0489 – $0.0811$0.0416 – $0.0954
31 Dec 2027$0.0299 – $0.1329$0.0184 – $0.2151

"Likely" means about two times in three, "wide" about nine times in ten — if the next year is as volatile as the last. Crypto regularly breaks that assumption in both directions.

What the last year actually did

Annualised volatility
70.3%
Typical daily move (1σ)
3.68%
Change over the year
down 69.53%
Deepest fall from a peak
down 76.0%
Best 30-day stretch
up 97.8%
Worst 30-day stretch
down 43.8%
30-day windows moving ±20%+
24%

How these ranges are calculated

We take Pi's daily closing prices for the past year, compute the day-to-day change in log terms, and measure their standard deviation — the coin's realised volatility. Price changes in crypto compound, so the range for a horizon of T days is today's price multiplied and divided by e raised to z × σ × √T, where z is 1 for the 68% range and 1.645 for the 90% range. No trend is assumed: the middle of every range is today's price.

That makes the ranges honest about uncertainty and silent about direction, which is the point. They will be wrong when volatility changes — after a halving, an ETF decision, an exchange failure or a regulatory ruling — and they say nothing about whether Pi is a good investment. Multi-year "targets" for 2030 published elsewhere are opinions; the arithmetic above stretched to five years produces a range so wide it means nothing, which is why we stop at the end of next year.

About Pi

What Pi is

Pi is a mobile-first cryptocurrency network built around a mobile application. Its design aims to make digital participation and everyday transactions accessible to ordinary users, without requiring specialist computing equipment or technical setup. People can participate in Pi’s mining process through the application and receive PI tokens as a reward. The project is intended to support a broader digital ecosystem in which users can transact with one another and discover applications offering goods and services. PI is the native token used within that ecosystem.

What PI is used for

PI serves as the network’s transactional token. It is intended for payments between users and for purchases within the Pi ecosystem, including digital goods and services offered through applications built for the network. PI may also be used to pay applicable network transaction fees where those fees apply to an operation. Its utility therefore depends on continued participation by users and developers who accept it and create services that people want to use. Holding PI is distinct from owning a claim on assets outside the network.

Supply

As of November 2026, Pi has a circulating supply of 8,196,534,001 PI. Its total supply is 100,000,000,000 PI, and its maximum supply is also 100,000,000,000 PI. This means the current token schedule has a defined ceiling rather than an unlimited supply. The maximum-supply figure represents the total number of PI tokens that can exist under that schedule; it does not mean that every token is already circulating or available to holders.

Only 8.2% of the maximum supply has been issued. The difference between circulating and maximum supply leaves room for further distribution over time. Future releases can affect holders by changing the amount of PI available in public circulation, so a capped supply does not remove all supply-related risk.

How Pi has traded

Pi first traded at $0.7821 in February 2025. Its all-time high was $2.98, recorded on 26 February 2025. These figures describe the beginning and the highest recorded point in its trading history, not its current value.

PI has also experienced substantial price movement. Its annualised volatility is 70%, indicating that its price can vary considerably over a year when risk is considered on an annualised basis. The deepest drawdown in the past year was -76%, representing a major decline from a peak to a later low. Past volatility and drawdowns show the potential size of losses, although they do not establish what may happen next.

Risks to understand

PI carries market risk: its 70% annualised volatility and -76% deepest drawdown demonstrate that large gains and severe losses can occur. A holder could lose a substantial part of an investment if demand weakens or sentiment changes.

There is also supply risk because only 8.2% of the maximum supply has been issued. Additional distribution could increase selling pressure or affect existing holders. Network and technology risk include problems with the application, mining process, security, infrastructure or the practical use of the broader ecosystem. If users and developers do not continue adopting PI, its intended uses may remain limited. Regulatory treatment may also change, affecting how the network, its applications or PI can be used. Concentrated holdings can create additional market risk if large holders sell, while technical failures or weak ecosystem activity can reduce confidence. None of these risks is removed merely because the token has a capped maximum supply.

Questions

What is the Pi price prediction for 2026?
We do not publish a target. Based on its past-year volatility, Pi has a 90% range of $0.0416 to $0.0954 by 31 December 2026, centred on today's $0.0630.
How volatile is Pi?
Its annualised volatility over the past year is 70%, and its typical daily move is about 3.7%. Its deepest fall from a peak in that period was 76.0%.
Can Pi reach $1?
It would need to rise 15.9× from here, which implies a total market value of $8.20B (0.01× Bitcoin's current value). Under our volatility model the chance of it trading above that price on 31 December 2027 is under 1%.

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