The Daily Coins
Market cap$2.16Tdown 6.83% 24h volume$296B BTC dominance58.7% Fear & Greed13Extreme Fear BTC$63,494down 6.83% ETH$1,747down 9.22% XRP$0.8992down 10.84% SOL$69.42down 10.91% BNB$575.74down 8.48% Prices Saturday, 14 November 2026
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart

Where Bitcoin's price sits against a long-run regression of its own history — nine bands from "fire sale" to "maximum bubble".

Updated · history Bitstamp

Today's band 14 Nov 2026
Buy Band 2 of 9
Bitcoin
$63,494
Fair-value line
$140,211
Price vs the line
−54.7%
  1. Maximum bubble territory$424K–$582K
  2. Sell. Seriously, sell$309K–$424K
  3. FOMO intensifies$225K–$309K
  4. Is this a bubble?$164K–$225K
  5. HODL!$120K–$164K
  6. Still cheap$87.23K–$120K
  7. Accumulate$63.56K–$87.23K
  8. BuyBTC$46.32K–$63.56K
  9. Basically a fire sale$33.76K–$46.32K
The short answer

Bitcoin at $63,494 is in band 2 of 9, "Buy", on our rainbow chart. The regression's fair-value line is $140,211 today; the band runs from $46,322 to $63,565.

Bitcoin price$63,494down 6.83%24-hour change
Fair-value line$140,211The regression line, today
Band floor$46,322Bottom of "Buy"
Band ceiling$63,565Top of "Buy"

Price against the bands since 2011

Log scale, daily closes, with the bands drawn two years ahead.

$1$3$10$30$100$300$1.00K$3.00K$10.00K$30.00K$100K$300K$1.00M20112015202020242028
Maximum bubble territory $424K–$582K Sell. Seriously, sell $309K–$424K FOMO intensifies $225K–$309K Is this a bubble? $164K–$225K HODL! $120K–$164K Still cheap $87.23K–$120K Accumulate $63.56K–$87.23K Buy $46.32K–$63.56K Basically a fire sale $33.76K–$46.32K
Method

How this chart is made

We fit one straight line through Bitcoin's history on log–log axes: the logarithm of the daily closing price against the logarithm of the number of days since the genesis block (3 January 2009). Ordinary least squares over 5,568 daily closes from Bitstamp since August 2011 gives:

log₁₀(price) = -16.090 + 5.567 × log₁₀(days since genesis)

Daily closes5,568
Intercept a-16.090
Slope b5.567
Residual σ0.281

The residuals have a standard deviation of 0.281 in log₁₀ terms. The nine bands are spaced evenly from 2.2 standard deviations below the line to 2.2 above it. The fit is recomputed every day, so the bands move slightly as each new close is added.

Rainbow charts became popular around 2014 as a joke with a serious core: Bitcoin's growth has slowed in a way that a power-law line describes surprisingly well. That is a description of the past. Nothing guarantees the next cycle follows it, and the band names are the genre's tradition, not our advice.

Questions

What band is Bitcoin in today?
Band 2 of 9: "Buy".
Is this the same as other rainbow charts?
The idea is the same; the numbers are not. Ours is fitted on every daily close since 2011 and updated daily, with the parameters published above, so band boundaries will differ from charts that use older or hand-picked fits.
Can it predict the top of a cycle?
No. It shows how stretched the price is relative to a long-run trend that has held so far. Past cycle tops landed in the upper bands, but the timing and height varied widely.

More tools

Fear & Greed IndexAltcoin Season IndexHalving countdownProfit calculatorDCA calculatorBitcoin investment calculatorMining calculatorStablecoin supplyGas & fee trackerConverter

Not financial advice. Figures are for information and can be delayed or wrong; crypto assets are volatile and you can lose everything you put in. See our methodology and disclaimer.