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Price prediction · volatility method

Gnosis (GNO) price prediction: how far it could move

Not a target. These are the ranges Gnosis's own price history makes plausible, recomputed every day from the last year of daily closes.

Updated · price $88.21

Price today$88.21down 10.81% 24h
Annual volatility55%typical day ±2.9%
Next 30 days · 90%$68.00 – $114.43
By 31 Dec 2026 · 90%$63.68 – $122.18
The short answer

Based on its realised volatility over the past year (55% a year), Gnosis has a 90% range of $68.00 to $114.43 over the next 30 days and $63.68 to $122.18 by 31 December 2026, if it keeps moving the way it has. These are statistical ranges around today's price of $88.21, not forecasts.

Last 180 days and the next 12 months · shaded: 68% and 90% ranges

$100.00May 2026Oct 2026Feb 2027Jul 2027Nov 2027

31 December 2026 · 47 days away

Gnosis price prediction 2026

Likely · 68%$72.36 – $107.53about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$63.68 – $122.18about 9 times in 10
Chance it doublesunder 1%to $176.42
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $1,184

By 31 December 2026 (47 days from now), Gnosis's own volatility puts the price between $72.36 and $107.53 about two times in three, and between $63.68 and $122.18 about nine times in ten, around today's $88.21. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is under 1%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $1,184 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Gnosis would be worth $322M in total; at the bottom, $168M.

31 December 2027 · 412 days away

Gnosis price prediction 2027

Likely · 68%$49.08 – $158.55about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$33.62 – $231.43about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles12%to $176.42
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $1,184

By 31 December 2027 (412 days from now), Gnosis's own volatility puts the price between $49.08 and $158.55 about two times in three, and between $33.62 and $231.43 about nine times in ten, around today's $88.21. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 12%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $1,184 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Gnosis would be worth $611M in total; at the bottom, $88.73M.

31 December 2030 · 1,508 days away

Gnosis price prediction 2030

Likely · 68%$28.73 – $270.84about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$13.93 – $558.40about 9 times in 10

Stretched to 31 December 2030 — 1,508 days away — the same arithmetic gives a 68% range of $28.73 to $270.84 and a 90% range of $13.93 to $558.40. A band that wide is the honest answer: nobody can tell you where Gnosis will be in 2030, and the figures published as "2030 predictions" elsewhere are opinions, not measurements.

At the top of the 90% range, Gnosis would be worth $1.47B in total; at the bottom, $36.77M.

The bars share one log scale from $13.93 to $558.40: the darker band is the 68% range, the lighter one the 90% range, the line today's price.

Can Gnosis reach $500?

A price is only half the question. Multiply it by the 2.64M GNO in circulation and you get the market value the price implies — which is the real test of whether it is plausible.

Price× todayImplied market valuevs Bitcoin todayModel chance by end 2027
$100 1.1× $264M 0.00× 42%
$200 2.3× $528M 0.00× 8.1%
$500 5.7× $1.32B 0.00× under 1%
$1,000 11× $2.64B 0.00× under 1%
$1,184 (all-time high) 13× $3.13B 0.00× under 1%

Implied value assumes today's circulating supply; new tokens entering circulation would raise it further. The model chance is the share of outcomes above that price on 31 December 2027 under the volatility assumptions above — a measure of how far the price has to travel, not a forecast.

What moves Gnosis's price

Gnosis’s price is shaped by demand for the network’s practical utility and for GNO’s governance and staking roles. Greater usage of applications and infrastructure built on the network can increase the need for blockspace, liquidity and participation in staking. Changes in network fees, staking participation and the amount of GNO held or released by participants can also affect buying interest and the liquid supply available for trading. Listings and easier access tend to broaden attention and liquidity, although attention can fade quickly once a market cycle loses momentum. Like most altcoins, Gnosis generally follows Bitcoin closely during broad risk-on or risk-off moves. Overall sentiment can dominate short-term trading, while network-specific adoption may determine whether Gnosis eventually diverges from that wider pattern.

Supply and GNO

As of November 2026, Gnosis has 2,639,078 GNO in circulation, compared with a total supply of 10,000,000 and a maximum supply of 10,000,000. Only 26.4% of the maximum supply is currently circulating. This means new tokens are still entering circulation through the network’s issuance mechanism, rather than the available supply having reached its stated ceiling. Continued issuance can add sell-side pressure if demand does not absorb it, but it can also support broader network participation and security. Staking requirements may temporarily remove tokens from active trading, while releases can return tokens to liquid markets. The relationship between these flows, network activity and investor sentiment is therefore central to interpreting Gnosis’s statistical ranges.

What would change the outlook

Technology failures, exploits or operational disruptions could undermine confidence and network activity, while effective upgrades, stronger security and useful features could improve adoption. Regulatory decisions affecting access, staking or the treatment of digital assets could expand or restrict participation. Competition from other platforms could limit Gnosis’s relevance, whereas differentiation in governance, infrastructure or application development could strengthen demand. Trading liquidity can also change abruptly, amplifying both positive and negative sentiment. Gnosis’s 55% annualised volatility and deepest trailing-year drawdown of -38.1% show that its historical range can be broad. Its all-time high of $1,184 on 25 November 2022 and first traded price of $63.97 in May 2017 illustrate substantial historical dispersion, but neither point represents a target or an indication of future direction.

Ranges by horizon

HorizonLikely (68%)Wide (90%)
7 days$81.72 – $95.22$77.79 – $100.03
30 days$75.30 – $103.33$68.00 – $114.43
90 days$67.07 – $116.02$56.20 – $138.45
6 months$59.74 – $130.25$46.46 – $167.47
1 year$50.80 – $153.18$35.58 – $218.68
31 Dec 2026$72.36 – $107.53$63.68 – $122.18
31 Dec 2027$49.08 – $158.55$33.62 – $231.43

"Likely" means about two times in three, "wide" about nine times in ten — if the next year is as volatile as the last. Crypto regularly breaks that assumption in both directions.

What the last year actually did

Annualised volatility
55.2%
Typical daily move (1σ)
2.89%
Change over the year
down 20.83%
Deepest fall from a peak
down 38.1%
Best 30-day stretch
up 29.1%
Worst 30-day stretch
down 31.1%
30-day windows moving ±20%+
6%

How these ranges are calculated

We take Gnosis's daily closing prices for the past year, compute the day-to-day change in log terms, and measure their standard deviation — the coin's realised volatility. Price changes in crypto compound, so the range for a horizon of T days is today's price multiplied and divided by e raised to z × σ × √T, where z is 1 for the 68% range and 1.645 for the 90% range. No trend is assumed: the middle of every range is today's price.

That makes the ranges honest about uncertainty and silent about direction, which is the point. They will be wrong when volatility changes — after a halving, an ETF decision, an exchange failure or a regulatory ruling — and they say nothing about whether Gnosis is a good investment. Multi-year "targets" for 2030 published elsewhere are opinions; the arithmetic above stretched to five years produces a range so wide it means nothing, which is why we stop at the end of next year.

About Gnosis

What Gnosis is

Gnosis is a decentralized Ethereum-based ecosystem for building and using prediction markets and other blockchain infrastructure. Its central purpose is to let people coordinate decisions through markets instead of relying only on traditional intermediaries. Prediction markets let participants back an outcome they believe is likely. Gnosis also provides tools for decentralized governance and coordination. Gnosis includes Gnosis Chain, a network for decentralized applications, while smart contracts enforce rules automatically.

What GNO is used for

GNO is the native token of Gnosis Chain. It is used to pay transaction fees and can be staked to help secure the network. It also carries governance rights, allowing holders to vote on proposals and participate in decentralized decision-making. These functions are distinct: paying fees does not create a claim on future earnings, staking can expose assets to penalties or service disruption, and voting power depends on participation and how governance is designed.

Supply

As of November 2026, 2,639,078 GNO were circulating, while total and maximum supply are both 10,000,000 GNO. This means 26.4% of the maximum supply had been issued. The maximum supply is a cap on future issuance under the token’s supply rules. Unlike an uncapped supply, it has a fixed ceiling. However, it does not mean every token is already circulating or that the remaining supply will enter circulation on a particular schedule. A cap can make scarcity rules clearer, but scarcity alone does not set value or protect holders from losses.

How Gnosis has traded

GNO first traded in May 2017 at $63.97. Its all-time high was $1,184, recorded on 25 November 2022. This history describes past trading, not a signal of where the token will trade next. Annualised volatility is 55%, indicating substantial variation in price over a yearly period. The deepest drawdown in the past year was -38.1%, meaning the deepest fall from a peak during that period was 38.1%. These measures describe the range and severity of historical price movements without establishing a future result. The page’s live price and market value should be considered separately from this record.

Risks to understand

Gnosis and GNO carry the general risks of decentralized digital assets plus those associated with their design. Smart contracts may contain coding errors, while infrastructure can fail or be attacked. Governance depends on participation and effective technical and community decisions; concentrated voting power could give some holders disproportionate influence. A capped supply does not prevent losses caused by market sentiment, liquidity changes, or broader cryptocurrency weakness. GNO’s use for fees, staking, and governance can expose holders to technical, operational, and regulatory uncertainty. Staked assets may be vulnerable to service disruption or penalties, and the legal treatment of decentralized networks and digital assets can change. Anyone considering GNO should understand each token function and be able to tolerate a substantial loss.

Questions

What is the Gnosis price prediction for 2026?
We do not publish a target. Based on its past-year volatility, Gnosis has a 90% range of $63.68 to $122.18 by 31 December 2026, centred on today's $88.21.
How volatile is Gnosis?
Its annualised volatility over the past year is 55%, and its typical daily move is about 2.9%. Its deepest fall from a peak in that period was 38.1%.
Can Gnosis reach $500?
It would need to rise 5.7× from here, which implies a total market value of $1.32B (0.00× Bitcoin's current value). Under our volatility model the chance of it trading above that price on 31 December 2027 is under 1%.

Gnosis live price All prediction ranges