Decentraland (MANA) price prediction: how far it could move
Not a target. These are the ranges Decentraland's own price history makes plausible, recomputed every day from the last year of daily closes.
Updated · price $0.0604
Based on its realised volatility over the past year (70% a year), Decentraland has a 90% range of $0.0433 to $0.0841 over the next 30 days and $0.0398 to $0.0915 by 31 December 2026, if it keeps moving the way it has. These are statistical ranges around today's price of $0.0604, not forecasts.
Last 180 days and the next 12 months · shaded: 68% and 90% ranges
31 December 2026 · 47 days away
Decentraland price prediction 2026
By 31 December 2026 (47 days from now), Decentraland's own volatility puts the price between $0.0469 and $0.0777 about two times in three, and between $0.0398 and $0.0915 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.0604. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is under 1%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $5.87 is under 1%.
At the top of the 90% range, Decentraland would be worth $180M in total; at the bottom, $78.47M.
31 December 2027 · 412 days away
Decentraland price prediction 2027
By 31 December 2027 (412 days from now), Decentraland's own volatility puts the price between $0.0286 and $0.1276 about two times in three, and between $0.0176 and $0.2066 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.0604. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 18%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $5.87 is under 1%.
At the top of the 90% range, Decentraland would be worth $407M in total; at the bottom, $34.74M.
31 December 2030 · 1,508 days away
Decentraland price prediction 2030
Stretched to 31 December 2030 — 1,508 days away — the same arithmetic gives a 68% range of $0.0144 to $0.2526 and a 90% range of $0.005732 to $0.6357. A band that wide is the honest answer: nobody can tell you where Decentraland will be in 2030, and the figures published as "2030 predictions" elsewhere are opinions, not measurements.
At the top of the 90% range, Decentraland would be worth $1.25B in total; at the bottom, $11.29M.
The bars share one log scale from $0.005732 to $0.6357: the darker band is the 68% range, the lighter one the 90% range, the line today's price.
Can Decentraland reach $1?
A price is only half the question. Multiply it by the 1.97B MANA in circulation and you get the market value the price implies — which is the real test of whether it is plausible.
| Price | × today | Implied market value | vs Bitcoin today | Model chance by end 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.1000 | 1.7× | $197M | 0.00× | 25% |
| $0.2000 | 3.3× | $394M | 0.00× | 5.5% |
| $0.5000 | 8.3× | $985M | 0.00× | under 1% |
| $1 | 17× | $1.97B | 0.00× | under 1% |
| $5.87 (all-time high) | 97× | $11.57B | 0.01× | under 1% |
Implied value assumes today's circulating supply; new tokens entering circulation would raise it further. The model chance is the share of outcomes above that price on 31 December 2027 under the volatility assumptions above — a measure of how far the price has to travel, not a forecast.
Ranges by horizon
| Horizon | Likely (68%) | Wide (90%) |
|---|---|---|
| 7 days | $0.0548 – $0.0666 | $0.0514 – $0.0709 |
| 30 days | $0.0493 – $0.0739 | $0.0433 – $0.0841 |
| 90 days | $0.0426 – $0.0856 | $0.0340 – $0.1073 |
| 6 months | $0.0367 – $0.0993 | $0.0266 – $0.1368 |
| 1 year | $0.0299 – $0.1221 | $0.0190 – $0.1922 |
| 31 Dec 2026 | $0.0469 – $0.0777 | $0.0398 – $0.0915 |
| 31 Dec 2027 | $0.0286 – $0.1276 | $0.0176 – $0.2066 |
"Likely" means about two times in three, "wide" about nine times in ten — if the next year is as volatile as the last. Crypto regularly breaks that assumption in both directions.
What the last year actually did
- Annualised volatility
- 70.4%
- Typical daily move (1σ)
- 3.69%
- Change over the year
- down 66.48%
- Deepest fall from a peak
- down 68.7%
- Best 30-day stretch
- up 42.6%
- Worst 30-day stretch
- down 44.9%
- 30-day windows moving ±20%+
- 32%
How these ranges are calculated
We take Decentraland's daily closing prices for the past year, compute the day-to-day change in log terms, and measure their standard deviation — the coin's realised volatility. Price changes in crypto compound, so the range for a horizon of T days is today's price multiplied and divided by e raised to z × σ × √T, where z is 1 for the 68% range and 1.645 for the 90% range. No trend is assumed: the middle of every range is today's price.
That makes the ranges honest about uncertainty and silent about direction, which is the point. They will be wrong when volatility changes — after a halving, an ETF decision, an exchange failure or a regulatory ruling — and they say nothing about whether Decentraland is a good investment. Multi-year "targets" for 2030 published elsewhere are opinions; the arithmetic above stretched to five years produces a range so wide it means nothing, which is why we stop at the end of next year.
About Decentraland
What Decentraland is
Decentraland is a blockchain-based virtual world where people can explore, create and socialise in digital environments. Its design uses blockchain records to represent ownership of virtual land and other digital assets. This is intended to give users more control over their in-world property than a conventional platform-controlled account might offer. MANA is the network’s native token, and it is not a stablecoin because its value can move substantially with market conditions. Decentraland is currently ranked 145 in the market-data ranking.
What MANA is used for
MANA functions as the main currency within Decentraland’s ecosystem. People can use it to buy and sell virtual land, avatars, wearables and other digital goods through the marketplace. It can also be used to pay for platform services and transaction-related charges. Holding MANA does not by itself represent ownership of a particular item in the virtual world; the relevant asset record determines that ownership. In addition to spending, users can stake MANA to participate in governance activities or access certain platform features.
Supply
As of November 2026, Decentraland has a circulating supply of 1,969,729,010 MANA and a total supply of 2,193,179,327 MANA. Circulating supply refers to tokens currently available for use, trading or held in circulation. Total supply includes those tokens as well as any that are not circulating. A capped token has a fixed ceiling on future issuance, while an uncapped token may continue adding new units. Such changes can affect scarcity and existing holdings, so the difference between the circulating and total figures should be considered when assessing supply conditions.
How Decentraland has traded
MANA first traded in September 2017 at a price of $0.02584. Its all-time high was $5.87, reached on 25 November 2021. The token has experienced significant movement since beginning to trade. Its annualised volatility is 70%, indicating that its price can vary sharply over time. The deepest drawdown from a peak in the past year was -69.7%. These figures describe the asset’s trading history and risk profile; they do not indicate where MANA may trade next.
Risks to understand
MANA carries several kinds of risk that can affect its price, usefulness or ownership:
- Market risk: Its high volatility can produce large gains or losses, including during broad changes in sentiment toward crypto assets.
- Technical risk: Bugs, outages, vulnerabilities or problems with wallet and blockchain infrastructure could interrupt activity or create security issues.
- Regulatory risk: Rules affecting virtual assets, marketplaces, user payments or access to blockchain-based services may change.
- Concentration risk: If MANA is held by a small number of wallets, activity by those holders could have an outsized effect on available supply and market liquidity.
- Governance and development risk: Decisions about protocol rules, upgrades and the virtual-world ecosystem may affect users and the token’s utility.
Questions
What is the Decentraland price prediction for 2026?
How volatile is Decentraland?
Can Decentraland reach $1?
Decentraland live price All prediction ranges
Not financial advice. Figures are for information and can be delayed or wrong; crypto assets are volatile and you can lose everything you put in. See our methodology and disclaimer.