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Price prediction · volatility method

Compound (COMP) price prediction: how far it could move

Not a target. These are the ranges Compound's own price history makes plausible, recomputed every day from the last year of daily closes.

Updated · price $17.92

Price today$17.92down 7.17% 24h
Annual volatility75%typical day ±3.9%
Next 30 days · 90%$12.57 – $25.54
By 31 Dec 2026 · 90%$11.50 – $27.92
The short answer

Based on its realised volatility over the past year (75% a year), Compound has a 90% range of $12.57 to $25.54 over the next 30 days and $11.50 to $27.92 by 31 December 2026, if it keeps moving the way it has. These are statistical ranges around today's price of $17.92, not forecasts.

Last 180 days and the next 12 months · shaded: 68% and 90% ranges

$10.00$30.00May 2026Oct 2026Feb 2027Jul 2027Nov 2027

31 December 2026 · 47 days away

Compound price prediction 2026

Likely · 68%$13.69 – $23.46about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$11.50 – $27.92about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles0.5%to $35.84
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $911.25

By 31 December 2026 (47 days from now), Compound's own volatility puts the price between $13.69 and $23.46 about two times in three, and between $11.50 and $27.92 about nine times in ten, around today's $17.92. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 0.5%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $911.25 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Compound would be worth $264M in total; at the bottom, $109M.

31 December 2027 · 412 days away

Compound price prediction 2027

Likely · 68%$8.07 – $39.81about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$4.82 – $66.60about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles19%to $35.84
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $911.25

By 31 December 2027 (412 days from now), Compound's own volatility puts the price between $8.07 and $39.81 about two times in three, and between $4.82 and $66.60 about nine times in ten, around today's $17.92. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 19%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $911.25 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Compound would be worth $631M in total; at the bottom, $45.65M.

31 December 2030 · 1,508 days away

Compound price prediction 2030

Likely · 68%$3.89 – $82.50about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$1.45 – $220.88about 9 times in 10

Stretched to 31 December 2030 — 1,508 days away — the same arithmetic gives a 68% range of $3.89 to $82.50 and a 90% range of $1.45 to $220.88. A band that wide is the honest answer: nobody can tell you where Compound will be in 2030, and the figures published as "2030 predictions" elsewhere are opinions, not measurements.

At the top of the 90% range, Compound would be worth $2.09B in total; at the bottom, $13.77M.

The bars share one log scale from $1.45 to $220.88: the darker band is the 68% range, the lighter one the 90% range, the line today's price.

Can Compound reach $100?

A price is only half the question. Multiply it by the 9.47M COMP in circulation and you get the market value the price implies — which is the real test of whether it is plausible.

Price× todayImplied market valuevs Bitcoin todayModel chance by end 2027
$20 1.1× $189M 0.00× 45%
$50 2.8× $473M 0.00× 9.9%
$100 5.6× $947M 0.00× 1.6%
$200 11× $1.89B 0.00× under 1%
$911.25 (all-time high) 51× $8.63B 0.01× under 1%

Implied value assumes today's circulating supply; new tokens entering circulation would raise it further. The model chance is the share of outcomes above that price on 31 December 2027 under the volatility assumptions above — a measure of how far the price has to travel, not a forecast.

Ranges by horizon

HorizonLikely (68%)Wide (90%)
7 days$16.15 – $19.88$15.10 – $21.26
30 days$14.45 – $22.23$12.57 – $25.54
90 days$12.34 – $26.02$9.70 – $33.10
6 months$10.54 – $30.46$7.49 – $42.88
1 year$8.45 – $37.98$5.21 – $61.66
31 Dec 2026$13.69 – $23.46$11.50 – $27.92
31 Dec 2027$8.07 – $39.81$4.82 – $66.60

"Likely" means about two times in three, "wide" about nine times in ten — if the next year is as volatile as the last. Crypto regularly breaks that assumption in both directions.

What the last year actually did

Annualised volatility
75.1%
Typical daily move (1σ)
3.93%
Change over the year
down 39.84%
Deepest fall from a peak
down 58.2%
Best 30-day stretch
up 41.5%
Worst 30-day stretch
down 39.6%
30-day windows moving ±20%+
33%

How these ranges are calculated

We take Compound's daily closing prices for the past year, compute the day-to-day change in log terms, and measure their standard deviation — the coin's realised volatility. Price changes in crypto compound, so the range for a horizon of T days is today's price multiplied and divided by e raised to z × σ × √T, where z is 1 for the 68% range and 1.645 for the 90% range. No trend is assumed: the middle of every range is today's price.

That makes the ranges honest about uncertainty and silent about direction, which is the point. They will be wrong when volatility changes — after a halving, an ETF decision, an exchange failure or a regulatory ruling — and they say nothing about whether Compound is a good investment. Multi-year "targets" for 2030 published elsewhere are opinions; the arithmetic above stretched to five years produces a range so wide it means nothing, which is why we stop at the end of next year.

About Compound

What Compound is

Compound is a blockchain-based lending protocol. It allows users to deposit digital assets and borrow supported assets against collateral. Borrowing depends on collateral quality, market demand, and protocol limits. Interest rates and credit conditions are governed by protocol rules, creating an open, rules-based way to lend and borrow without relying on a conventional account.

COMP is Compound’s native governance token. Holders can vote on protocol proposals and help set parameters that affect borrowing, collateral, interest rates, and software changes. Governance participation can be delegated. The token is not designed as the main unit for ordinary payments, and owning it does not create a claim on assets deposited in a market.

What COMP is used for

COMP’s primary function is governance rather than payment. It is not generally used to buy goods, pay protocol service fees, or serve as a cash equivalent. Voting rights make the token relevant to users who want to influence protocol direction. Delegation allows voting power to be assigned without transferring economic ownership.

Governance decisions can change system settings, so token holders may face outcomes different from their preferences. COMP does not provide a direct right to protocol reserves, borrower funds, or interest income.

Supply

As of November 2026, COMP’s circulating supply is 9,468,480, while both total supply and maximum supply are 10,000,000. The issued share is 94.7% of the maximum.

A capped supply means issuance has a fixed ceiling and can stop when that ceiling is reached. An uncapped supply has no fixed ceiling and can expand over time. Compound’s cap makes scarcity a visible feature, but scarcity alone does not determine price or ensure liquidity.

How Compound has traded

COMP first traded in January 2021 at $223. Its all-time high was $911, set on 12 May 2021. Annualised volatility is 75%, reflecting substantial variation in price over an annualised basis. The deepest drawdown from a peak in the past year was -58.2%. A drawdown describes the decline from a prior peak to a later low.

These figures describe past trading conditions only; they do not establish future direction.

Risks to understand

The main risks to consider are:

  • Smart contract risk. Code defects, unintended interactions, or faulty upgrades can affect funds and protocol operation.
  • Oracle risk. Oracle failures or manipulated price feeds can misstate collateral value and trigger inappropriate liquidations.
  • Collateral risk. Volatile or illiquid collateral can lose borrowing capacity quickly and leave a position vulnerable to liquidation.
  • Market risk. High volatility and large drawdowns can cause rapid losses, even for holders who do not borrow.
  • Governance and regulatory risk. Tokenholder decisions can change protocol settings, while legal treatment of token-based lending and governance may affect availability and use.
  • Liquidity risk. Uneven demand and liquidity can make borrowing unavailable, limit exits, or increase slippage when assets are withdrawn.

Questions

What is the Compound price prediction for 2026?
We do not publish a target. Based on its past-year volatility, Compound has a 90% range of $11.50 to $27.92 by 31 December 2026, centred on today's $17.92.
How volatile is Compound?
Its annualised volatility over the past year is 75%, and its typical daily move is about 3.9%. Its deepest fall from a peak in that period was 58.2%.
Can Compound reach $100?
It would need to rise 5.6× from here, which implies a total market value of $947M (0.00× Bitcoin's current value). Under our volatility model the chance of it trading above that price on 31 December 2027 is 1.6%.

Compound live price All prediction ranges