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Price prediction · volatility method

Basic Attention Token (BAT) price prediction: how far it could move

Not a target. These are the ranges Basic Attention Token's own price history makes plausible, recomputed every day from the last year of daily closes.

Updated · price $0.0927

Price today$0.0927down 14.17% 24h
Annual volatility99%typical day ±5.2%
Next 30 days · 90%$0.0582 – $0.1476
By 31 Dec 2026 · 90%$0.0517 – $0.1659
The short answer

Based on its realised volatility over the past year (99% a year), Basic Attention Token has a 90% range of $0.0582 to $0.1476 over the next 30 days and $0.0517 to $0.1659 by 31 December 2026, if it keeps moving the way it has. These are statistical ranges around today's price of $0.0927, not forecasts.

Last 180 days and the next 12 months · shaded: 68% and 90% ranges

$0.0300$0.1000$0.3000May 2026Oct 2026Feb 2027Jul 2027Nov 2027

31 December 2026 · 47 days away

Basic Attention Token price prediction 2026

Likely · 68%$0.0650 – $0.1321about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.0517 – $0.1659about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles2.5%to $0.1853
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $1.91

By 31 December 2026 (47 days from now), Basic Attention Token's own volatility puts the price between $0.0650 and $0.1321 about two times in three, and between $0.0517 and $0.1659 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.0927. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 2.5%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $1.91 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Basic Attention Token would be worth $248M in total; at the bottom, $77.40M.

31 December 2027 · 412 days away

Basic Attention Token price prediction 2027

Likely · 68%$0.0325 – $0.2645about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.0165 – $0.5202about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles25%to $0.1853
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $1.91

By 31 December 2027 (412 days from now), Basic Attention Token's own volatility puts the price between $0.0325 and $0.2645 about two times in three, and between $0.0165 and $0.5202 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.0927. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 25%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $1.91 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Basic Attention Token would be worth $778M in total; at the bottom, $24.69M.

31 December 2030 · 1,508 days away

Basic Attention Token price prediction 2030

Likely · 68%$0.0125 – $0.6891about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.003416 – $2.51about 9 times in 10

Stretched to 31 December 2030 — 1,508 days away — the same arithmetic gives a 68% range of $0.0125 to $0.6891 and a 90% range of $0.003416 to $2.51. A band that wide is the honest answer: nobody can tell you where Basic Attention Token will be in 2030, and the figures published as "2030 predictions" elsewhere are opinions, not measurements.

At the top of the 90% range, Basic Attention Token would be worth $3.76B in total; at the bottom, $5.11M.

The bars share one log scale from $0.003416 to $2.51: the darker band is the 68% range, the lighter one the 90% range, the line today's price.

Can Basic Attention Token reach $1?

A price is only half the question. Multiply it by the 1.50B BAT in circulation and you get the market value the price implies — which is the real test of whether it is plausible.

Price× todayImplied market valuevs Bitcoin todayModel chance by end 2027
$0.1000 1.1× $150M 0.00× 47%
$0.2000 2.2× $299M 0.00× 23%
$0.5000 5.4× $748M 0.00× 5.4%
$1 11× $1.50B 0.00× 1.2%
$1.91 (all-time high) 21× $2.85B 0.00× under 1%

Implied value assumes today's circulating supply; new tokens entering circulation would raise it further. The model chance is the share of outcomes above that price on 31 December 2027 under the volatility assumptions above — a measure of how far the price has to travel, not a forecast.

Ranges by horizon

HorizonLikely (68%)Wide (90%)
7 days$0.0808 – $0.1062$0.0740 – $0.1160
30 days$0.0698 – $0.1230$0.0582 – $0.1476
90 days$0.0568 – $0.1513$0.0414 – $0.2075
6 months$0.0462 – $0.1861$0.0294 – $0.2917
1 year$0.0345 – $0.2487$0.0183 – $0.4700
31 Dec 2026$0.0650 – $0.1321$0.0517 – $0.1659
31 Dec 2027$0.0325 – $0.2645$0.0165 – $0.5202

"Likely" means about two times in three, "wide" about nine times in ten — if the next year is as volatile as the last. Crypto regularly breaks that assumption in both directions.

What the last year actually did

Annualised volatility
98.7%
Typical daily move (1σ)
5.17%
Change over the year
down 37.86%
Deepest fall from a peak
down 79.8%
Best 30-day stretch
up 202.9%
Worst 30-day stretch
down 52.7%
30-day windows moving ±20%+
45%

How these ranges are calculated

We take Basic Attention Token's daily closing prices for the past year, compute the day-to-day change in log terms, and measure their standard deviation — the coin's realised volatility. Price changes in crypto compound, so the range for a horizon of T days is today's price multiplied and divided by e raised to z × σ × √T, where z is 1 for the 68% range and 1.645 for the 90% range. No trend is assumed: the middle of every range is today's price.

That makes the ranges honest about uncertainty and silent about direction, which is the point. They will be wrong when volatility changes — after a halving, an ETF decision, an exchange failure or a regulatory ruling — and they say nothing about whether Basic Attention Token is a good investment. Multi-year "targets" for 2030 published elsewhere are opinions; the arithmetic above stretched to five years produces a range so wide it means nothing, which is why we stop at the end of next year.

About Basic Attention Token

What Basic Attention Token is

Basic Attention Token, or BAT, is an Ethereum-based utility token designed for a privacy-focused digital advertising and attention marketplace. Its broader system connects browser activity with advertising delivery and rewards for users and publishers. The aim is to make attention more measurable within online advertising while giving users a way to receive tokens for taking part and a way to spend them within the same ecosystem. BAT is an asset in its own right, not a stablecoin, so it does not hold a fixed value against another currency. The project website is basicattentiontoken.org.

What BAT is used for

BAT is primarily used as the exchange unit within the project’s browser-based advertising and reward system. Advertisers can use BAT for advertising placements, publishers can receive BAT for serving content, and users can earn BAT for participating in activities supported by the browser. Spending and rewards are therefore linked to real use of the advertising ecosystem rather than to a conventional savings account. The token’s utility depends on continued adoption of that ecosystem, the availability of relevant services, and the willingness of participants to hold, earn, or spend BAT.

Supply

As of November 2026, BAT has a circulating supply of 1,495,696,057 tokens and a total supply of 1,500,000,000 tokens. Its maximum supply is also 1,500,000,000 tokens, meaning the token has a fixed supply cap. This sets a limit on how many BAT tokens can exist, unlike an uncapped network whose total supply can continue expanding. Approximately 99.7 percent of the maximum supply has been issued. A cap can help limit future dilution, although it does not guarantee demand for BAT, protect its market value, or ensure that every holder can sell at a preferred price. Changes in circulating supply can also affect liquidity and how readily tokens can be traded.

How Basic Attention Token has traded

BAT first traded in June 2017 at a price of $0.1652. Its all-time high was $1.91, recorded on 28 November 2021. These historical points show that BAT has traded through a substantial range since beginning trading. Its price can respond to changes in cryptocurrency-market conditions, participation in the advertising ecosystem, and demand for the token’s utility. Historical highs are records rather than fair-value estimates, and an earlier price does not establish what BAT may be worth later.

Risks to understand

BAT carries market risk because its value is not fixed and can decline when demand weakens or broader cryptocurrency sentiment turns negative. It also has ecosystem concentration risk: reliance on one browser-based advertising system means technical changes, service interruptions, reduced participation, or shifts in user behaviour could affect token utility. Smart-contract or blockchain weaknesses could create loss or exploitation risks. Regulatory treatment of digital advertising, data protection, privacy, and token-based rewards may also change. Supply concentration is another concern if BAT is held disproportionately by relatively few wallets, although ownership can change over time. Investors should also consider the possibility that services accepting BAT may evolve, making the token less useful than expected.

Questions

What is the Basic Attention Token price prediction for 2026?
We do not publish a target. Based on its past-year volatility, Basic Attention Token has a 90% range of $0.0517 to $0.1659 by 31 December 2026, centred on today's $0.0927.
How volatile is Basic Attention Token?
Its annualised volatility over the past year is 99%, and its typical daily move is about 5.2%. Its deepest fall from a peak in that period was 79.8%.
Can Basic Attention Token reach $1?
It would need to rise 10.8× from here, which implies a total market value of $1.50B (0.00× Bitcoin's current value). Under our volatility model the chance of it trading above that price on 31 December 2027 is 1.2%.

Basic Attention Token live price All prediction ranges