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Price prediction · volatility method

Aerodrome Finance (AERO) price prediction: how far it could move

Not a target. These are the ranges Aerodrome Finance's own price history makes plausible, recomputed every day from the last year of daily closes.

Updated · price $0.4321

Price today$0.4321down 8.63% 24h
Annual volatility103%typical day ±5.4%
Next 30 days · 90%$0.2660 – $0.7020
By 31 Dec 2026 · 90%$0.2355 – $0.7931
The short answer

Based on its realised volatility over the past year (103% a year), Aerodrome Finance has a 90% range of $0.2660 to $0.7020 over the next 30 days and $0.2355 to $0.7931 by 31 December 2026, if it keeps moving the way it has. These are statistical ranges around today's price of $0.4321, not forecasts.

Last 180 days and the next 12 months · shaded: 68% and 90% ranges

$0.1000$0.3000$1.00May 2026Oct 2026Feb 2027Jul 2027Nov 2027

31 December 2026 · 47 days away

Aerodrome Finance price prediction 2026

Likely · 68%$0.2988 – $0.6251about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.2355 – $0.7931about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles3.0%to $0.8643
Above all-time highunder 1%ATH $2.37

By 31 December 2026 (47 days from now), Aerodrome Finance's own volatility puts the price between $0.2988 and $0.6251 about two times in three, and between $0.2355 and $0.7931 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.4321. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 3.0%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $2.37 is under 1%.

At the top of the 90% range, Aerodrome Finance would be worth $711M in total; at the bottom, $211M.

31 December 2027 · 412 days away

Aerodrome Finance price prediction 2027

Likely · 68%$0.1449 – $1.29about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.0716 – $2.61about 9 times in 10
Chance it doubles26%to $0.8643
Above all-time high6.0%ATH $2.37

By 31 December 2027 (412 days from now), Aerodrome Finance's own volatility puts the price between $0.1449 and $1.29 about two times in three, and between $0.0716 and $2.61 about nine times in ten, around today's $0.4321. Under the same assumptions the chance of it doubling by then is 26%, and the chance of being above its all-time high of $2.37 is 6.0%.

At the top of the 90% range, Aerodrome Finance would be worth $2.34B in total; at the bottom, $64.21M.

31 December 2030 · 1,508 days away

Aerodrome Finance price prediction 2030

Likely · 68%$0.0534 – $3.50about 2 times in 3
Wide · 90%$0.0139 – $13.47about 9 times in 10

Stretched to 31 December 2030 — 1,508 days away — the same arithmetic gives a 68% range of $0.0534 to $3.50 and a 90% range of $0.0139 to $13.47. A band that wide is the honest answer: nobody can tell you where Aerodrome Finance will be in 2030, and the figures published as "2030 predictions" elsewhere are opinions, not measurements.

At the top of the 90% range, Aerodrome Finance would be worth $12.08B in total; at the bottom, $12.43M.

The bars share one log scale from $0.0139 to $13.47: the darker band is the 68% range, the lighter one the 90% range, the line today's price.

Can Aerodrome Finance reach $2?

A price is only half the question. Multiply it by the 896.86M AERO in circulation and you get the market value the price implies — which is the real test of whether it is plausible.

Price× todayImplied market valuevs Bitcoin todayModel chance by end 2027
$0.5000 1.2× $448M 0.00× 45%
$1 2.3× $897M 0.00× 22%
$2 4.6× $1.79B 0.00× 8.0%
$2.37 (all-time high) 5.5× $2.13B 0.00× 6.0%
$5 12× $4.48B 0.00× 1.3%

Implied value assumes today's circulating supply; new tokens entering circulation would raise it further. The model chance is the share of outcomes above that price on 31 December 2027 under the volatility assumptions above — a measure of how far the price has to travel, not a forecast.

What moves Aerodrome Finance's price

Aerodrome Finance is exposed to the practical use of its decentralized trading network. More trading activity can increase demand for AERO as users seek governance rights, participate in liquidity provision, or access incentives tied to network usage. Fees, liquidity depth, and the appeal of staking or governance participation can also shape demand. Changes in listings and market access may widen or restrict availability, while broader attention cycles can amplify trading activity and sentiment.

Like many altcoins, AERO generally tends to move alongside Bitcoin and the wider crypto market, although its response depends on network-specific developments. Positive market sentiment can support attention and liquidity, while risk aversion can reduce activity even when protocol fundamentals remain intact. A rank of 80 and annualised volatility of 103% indicate that meaningful swings are common. The deepest one-year drawdown of -67.9% also shows how sharply market conditions can alter the trading range.

Supply and AERO

Aerodrome Finance had 896,858,300 AERO circulating as of November 2026, compared with a total supply of 1,748,524,991. The substantial gap indicates that not all issued tokens are circulating, and is consistent with additional tokens entering circulation over time, although the data does not reveal the pace. Continued issuance can create dilution if demand does not absorb those tokens, making supply releases an important factor when assessing the statistical ranges.

No maximum-supply figure is provided, so any claim about a hard supply ceiling cannot be assessed from the available information. The all-time high of $2.37 on 12 April 2024, against a first traded price of $0.09102 in February 2024, also illustrates how strongly AERO’s market history can change across sentiment cycles.

What would change the outlook

Technology failures, exploits, congestion, or weak upgrades could undermine confidence in network reliability and reduce usage. Conversely, improved functionality, better fee incentives, stronger governance participation, or greater trading activity could strengthen demand. Regulatory clarity or adverse regulatory actions could affect access and participation, while competition for decentralized trading activity may influence liquidity and user retention. Sudden liquidity withdrawals, abrupt market-wide risk-off conditions, or changes in token releases could also shift the range sharply. These events can push the outlook in either direction, so the ranges should be read as a measure of historical variability rather than a forecast.

Ranges by horizon

HorizonLikely (68%)Wide (90%)
7 days$0.3748 – $0.4983$0.3419 – $0.5463
30 days$0.3218 – $0.5804$0.2660 – $0.7020
90 days$0.2593 – $0.7202$0.1865 – $1.00
6 months$0.2090 – $0.8935$0.1308 – $1.43
1 year$0.1545 – $1.21$0.0796 – $2.35
31 Dec 2026$0.2988 – $0.6251$0.2355 – $0.7931
31 Dec 2027$0.1449 – $1.29$0.0716 – $2.61

"Likely" means about two times in three, "wide" about nine times in ten — if the next year is as volatile as the last. Crypto regularly breaks that assumption in both directions.

What the last year actually did

Annualised volatility
102.9%
Typical daily move (1σ)
5.38%
Change over the year
down 42.63%
Deepest fall from a peak
down 66.6%
Best 30-day stretch
up 83.1%
Worst 30-day stretch
down 51.5%
30-day windows moving ±20%+
52%

How these ranges are calculated

We take Aerodrome Finance's daily closing prices for the past year, compute the day-to-day change in log terms, and measure their standard deviation — the coin's realised volatility. Price changes in crypto compound, so the range for a horizon of T days is today's price multiplied and divided by e raised to z × σ × √T, where z is 1 for the 68% range and 1.645 for the 90% range. No trend is assumed: the middle of every range is today's price.

That makes the ranges honest about uncertainty and silent about direction, which is the point. They will be wrong when volatility changes — after a halving, an ETF decision, an exchange failure or a regulatory ruling — and they say nothing about whether Aerodrome Finance is a good investment. Multi-year "targets" for 2030 published elsewhere are opinions; the arithmetic above stretched to five years produces a range so wide it means nothing, which is why we stop at the end of next year.

About Aerodrome Finance

What Aerodrome Finance is

Aerodrome Finance is a decentralized exchange and liquidity protocol built on the Base network. It lets people trade digital assets and provide liquidity through pools rather than relying on a traditional order-book intermediary. Its design focuses on concentrated liquidity, which allows liquidity providers to place funds within selected price ranges. This can make capital more actively deployed and lets traders swap assets directly through pools. The project’s website is aerodrome.finance.

What AERO is used for

AERO is the protocol’s native token, but its main role is not ordinary payment. Token holders can lock AERO to obtain veAERO, a form of voting power. That power lets holders vote on protocol changes and on which liquidity pools receive token emissions. Locking provides influence in proportion to the amount locked and time remaining, so larger and longer locks carry more weight. AERO can also be used for liquidity incentives in the pools selected through this process. This is distinct from paying for network transactions.

Supply

As of November 2026, circulating supply is 896,858,300 AERO. The total supply—and the maximum supply—is 1,748,524,991 AERO. A capped supply means the protocol cannot keep creating new AERO beyond that ceiling. It also means the amount issued now is not necessarily the amount that will ever circulate: some supply may remain locked, controlled for emissions, or not yet in public circulation. The gap between total and circulating figures can therefore change as tokens are released and distributed. The cap limits dilution from new issuance but does not remove risks from unlocks or emissions.

How Aerodrome Finance has traded

AERO first traded in February 2024 at $0.09102. Its all-time high was $2.37, reached on 12 April 2024. The move from first trading to the peak illustrates how quickly a newly traded token can reprice, while the subsequent history shows that gains can be followed by substantial losses. Annualised volatility is 103%, indicating that AERO’s returns have varied sharply over the measured period. The deepest one-year drawdown was -67.9%, meaning a peak-to-trough decline of that magnitude occurred within the annual period being measured. These figures describe past trading behavior and do not establish a future range or direction.

Risks to understand

  • Smart-contract risk: Bugs or faulty upgrades can break trading, deposits, or governance and cause lost funds.
  • Liquidity-provider risk: Concentrated positions can suffer impermanent loss when prices diverge, while weak demand can reduce usable liquidity.
  • Market risk: Annualised volatility of 103% and a -67.9% one-year drawdown show how sharply the asset can move.
  • Supply and governance risk: Releases can dilute holders, while voting power may concentrate among large lockers.
  • Liquidity and stablecoin risk: If pool assets expected to trade near parity depeg, providers can face extra losses.
  • Regulatory and operational risk: Rules for decentralized exchanges, pools, or governance tokens may change, and interface or network access can fail.

Questions

What is the Aerodrome Finance price prediction for 2026?
We do not publish a target. Based on its past-year volatility, Aerodrome Finance has a 90% range of $0.2355 to $0.7931 by 31 December 2026, centred on today's $0.4321.
How volatile is Aerodrome Finance?
Its annualised volatility over the past year is 103%, and its typical daily move is about 5.4%. Its deepest fall from a peak in that period was 66.6%.
Can Aerodrome Finance reach $2?
It would need to rise 4.6× from here, which implies a total market value of $1.79B (0.00× Bitcoin's current value). Under our volatility model the chance of it trading above that price on 31 December 2027 is 8.0%.

Aerodrome Finance live price All prediction ranges